₿ Bitcoin Retirement Calculator 2025

Free Bitcoin retirement planning tool using the Power Law support line - Calculate how much BTC you need to retire comfortably

🛡️ The Most Conservative Bitcoin Retirement Calculator

This calculator uses the Bitcoin Power Law Support Line - the most conservative price model for Bitcoin retirement planning. Here's why this approach is ideal for careful retirement planning:

📉 Support Line = Bear Market Floor

The support line represents Bitcoin's historical "floor" price during the deepest bear markets. By using this conservative baseline, you're planning for the worst-case scenarios.

🔒 42% of Fair Value

Our model uses only 42% of the Power Law fair value - essentially assuming Bitcoin will trade at bear market lows throughout your retirement. This extreme conservatism provides a safety margin.

📊 Historically Proven

The Bitcoin Power Law has held true since 2009, with the support line acting as a reliable floor. Even during the worst crashes, Bitcoin has rarely broken below this level.

💰 Built-in Safety Buffer

If Bitcoin performs better than the support line (which it historically has 95%+ of the time), you'll have significantly more wealth than planned - a pleasant surprise rather than a shortfall.

⚠️ Ultra-Conservative Approach: This calculator assumes Bitcoin will perform at its historical worst throughout your entire retirement. In reality, Bitcoin typically trades well above the support line, meaning your actual retirement wealth will likely be much higher than these projections.

❓ Frequently Asked Questions

How much Bitcoin do I need to retire?

This depends on your desired annual withdrawal amount and retirement timeline. Our calculator uses the conservative Power Law support line to estimate the minimum BTC needed. Most people need between 1-50 BTC depending on their lifestyle and location.

What is the Bitcoin Power Law?

The Bitcoin Power Law is a mathematical model that has accurately predicted Bitcoin's price trajectory since 2009. It shows Bitcoin's price follows a power law relationship with time, making it useful for long-term planning.

Why use the support line instead of fair value?

The support line represents Bitcoin's historical floor price during bear markets. Using this conservative estimate ensures your retirement plan works even if Bitcoin underperforms for extended periods.

How accurate is this calculator?

This calculator uses historical data and conservative assumptions. While no model can predict the future perfectly, the Power Law has been remarkably accurate since 2009. This tool is for educational purposes only.

Should I include taxes in my planning?

Yes! Our calculator includes capital gains tax calculations to give you a more realistic estimate of your net withdrawal amount. Tax rates vary by jurisdiction, so consult a tax professional for your specific situation.

What about inflation?

The calculator accounts for inflation by increasing your annual withdrawal target each year. This ensures your purchasing power remains constant throughout retirement.

Current BTC Holdings
20 BTC
Annual Withdrawal Target
$100,000
Currency
USD ($)
Tax Rate
20%
Inflation Rate
2.5%
Start Withdrawal Year
2025
End Year
2085
Model Used
Power Law Support Line
Power Law Support Line Formula:
Support Price = (1.0117e-17 × days_since_genesis^5.82) × 0.42
Where days_since_genesis is days since January 3, 2009
Year Support Price Portfolio Value Inflation-Adjusted Target Pre-tax Required BTC to Sell Remaining BTC Feasible?
Important Notes:
• This calculation uses the most conservative Bitcoin Power Law support line
• The support line historically represents the "floor" price during bear markets
• Exchange rates: Real-time rates for 10 major currencies via exchangerate-api.com
• Tax calculations assume capital gains tax on BTC sales
• Inflation is compounded annually from the base withdrawal amount
• This is for educational purposes only and not financial advice

🎯 How to Use This Bitcoin Retirement Calculator

Step 1: Enter Your BTC Holdings

Input your current Bitcoin holdings or the amount you plan to accumulate. The calculator accepts decimal values (e.g., 1.5 BTC).

Step 2: Set Your Annual Withdrawal

Enter your desired annual withdrawal amount in your local currency. This is what you want to live on each year during retirement.

Step 3: Choose Your Currency

Select from 10 major currencies. Exchange rates are updated in real-time for accurate calculations.

Step 4: Set Tax Rate

Enter your expected capital gains tax rate. This varies by country and income level - consult a tax professional for accuracy.

Step 5: Adjust for Inflation

Set your expected annual inflation rate. The calculator will increase your withdrawal amount each year to maintain purchasing power.

Step 6: Set Your Timeline

Choose your retirement start year and end year. The calculator will show year-by-year projections for your entire retirement period.